Model Predictions
| Model | Boston College Eagles | SMU Mustangs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 13.5% | 86.5% | +11.1 | ✗ (29.1 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 27.0% | 73.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 43.8% | 56.2% | +2.7 | ✗ (20.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 52.4% | 47.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 49.9% | 50.1% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 55.3% | 44.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 43.9% | 56.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: SMU Mustangs -18 (59-77). Ratings: 2025-26 season-end ratings.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Boston College Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lily Carmody * | 39 | 11-19 | 0-2 | 5-5 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 27 | 19 | - |
| Erin Houpt * | 31 | 3-10 | 1-7 | 7-8 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 13 | - |
| Athena Tomlinson * | 31 | 1-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6 | - |
| Amirah Anderson * | 28 | 4-10 | 2-4 | 4-4 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 12 | - |
| Kayla Rolph * | 26 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 9 | - |
| Jocelyne Grier | 21 | 4-14 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 1 | - |
| Kiera Edmonds | 14 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | - |
| Kaia Henderson | 10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - |
SMU Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anaya Brown * | 37 | 8-14 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 19 | 13 | - |
| Ayanna Thompson * | 37 | 4-7 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 12 | - |
| Grace Hall * | 36 | 2-9 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 11 | - |
| Zahra King * | 32 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 2-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 5 | - |
| Sahnya Jah * | 29 | 4-15 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 9 | 0 | - |
| Jazzy Gipson | 16 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Miriam Ibezim | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Elizaveta Filchagina | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter