Model Predictions
| Model | Virginia Cavaliers | California Golden Bears | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 46.3% | 53.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 54.4% | 45.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 55.5% | 44.5% | -1.2 | ✗ (7.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.4% | 49.6% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 77.0% | 23.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 66.3% | 33.7% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 66.3% | 33.7% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 51.6% | 48.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: California Golden Bears +6 (64-58). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Virginia Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Johnson | 40 | 3-11 | 0-5 | 4-4 | 5 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 13 | - |
| R. Levy | 34 | 4-9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 10 | - |
| T. Amanze | 34 | 5-12 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 9 | - |
| P. Clark | 32 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 11 | - |
| S. Smith | 27 | 5-15 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 0 | - |
| C. Weimar | 19 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 8 | - |
| G. White | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
| J. Brown | 6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
California Golden Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Twidale | 39 | 5-18 | 3-8 | 4-4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 5 | - |
| G. Maul | 38 | 4-10 | 2-8 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 9 | - |
| S. Walker | 33 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 20 | 16 | - |
| M. Sheppard | 31 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 7 | - |
| C. Langarita | 24 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| A. Morris | 21 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| L. Donez | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -3 | - |
| N. Ojukwu | 6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - |
* = starter