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2026-01-11

Model Predictions

Model Pittsburgh Panthers Louisville Cardinals Spread Result
Elo 3.4% 96.6% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 3.3% 96.7% - โœ“
Margin 0.1% 99.9% +41.5 โœ“ (1.5 off)
Pythagorean 6.7% 93.3% - โœ“
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 1.0% 99.0% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 2.5% 97.5% - โœ“

Actual: Louisville Cardinals +40 (86-46). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Pittsburgh Panthers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Theresa Hagans 33 6-16 2-6 0-0 2 2 1 0 5 14 -2 -22.6
Lauren Rust 31 2-7 0-0 1-2 8 1 0 0 5 5 2 -21.5
Carla Viegas 29 3-12 3-11 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 9 -2 -16.7
Fatima Diakhate 26 0-3 0-0 0-0 3 1 1 1 0 0 3 -27.4
Mikayla Johnson 22 3-5 2-4 2-2 2 0 1 0 3 10 5 -25.1
Amiya Jenkins 21 0-7 0-1 0-0 4 1 0 0 1 0 -3 -8.9
Megan Hollingsworth 15 0-2 0-2 1-2 3 0 1 0 2 1 1 -6.2
Angela Le Faou 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 1 0 1 -3.4
Jayda Queeley 7 1-1 0-0 1-2 2 2 0 0 2 3 4 -6.0
Audrey Biggs 6 1-1 0-0 2-2 0 0 0 0 1 4 2 -4.6

Louisville Cardinals

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
G. Mbugua 22 5-10 0-1 0-0 10 1 3 2 2 10 14 +18.2
M. Randolph 22 2-7 0-3 1-1 5 0 4 0 1 5 6 +24.9
T. Roberts 20 1-10 1-6 2-3 2 1 1 0 1 5 -2 +18.4
Reyna Scott 20 2-6 0-2 0-0 3 5 1 1 3 4 5 +24.1
R. Bender 19 0-5 0-4 0-0 4 6 0 0 2 0 3 +0.6
Skylar Jones 18 5-10 2-5 0-0 4 2 1 0 1 12 8 +22.3
Laura Ziegler 18 6-8 1-3 0-0 7 2 2 1 1 13 16 +12.7
Y. Putra 17 3-6 0-0 0-0 6 1 2 0 2 6 7 +6.5
A. Hardy 17 7-9 0-0 2-5 9 0 3 0 0 16 19 -20.3
I. Berry 16 4-5 2-2 2-2 7 2 1 0 1 12 16 +15.9
R. Graves 11 1-5 1-5 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 3 -1 +1.5

* = starter