Model Predictions
| Model | North Carolina Tar Heels | Notre Dame Fighting Irish | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 47.0% | 53.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 54.8% | 45.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 44.7% | 55.3% | +1.2 | ✓ (21.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.7% | 51.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 66.4% | 33.6% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 61.4% | 38.6% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 61.6% | 38.4% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 46.4% | 53.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Notre Dame Fighting Irish +23 (73-50). Predictions use season-end ratings.
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Kelly | 36 | 3-12 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 0 | -30.6 |
| L. Grant | 31 | 3-8 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 9 | -1 | -13.1 |
| N. Harris | 30 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 16 | -13.1 |
| I. Nivar | 26 | 1-7 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 3 | -22.0 |
| Elina Aarnisalo | 19 | 3-5 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 0 | -12.2 |
| N. Brooks | 19 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | -16.6 |
| T. Henderson | 12 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | -9.8 |
| C. Toomey | 12 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | -11.3 |
| T. Queiroz | 7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | -12.1 |
| L. Hull | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1.6 |
| B. Thomas | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Notre Dame Fighting Irish
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iyana Moore | 40 | 1-9 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -2 | +36.6 |
| Hannah Hidalgo | 39 | 13-25 | 0-2 | 5-6 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 31 | 27 | +39.5 |
| Cassandre Prosper | 39 | 6-13 | 1-2 | 4-7 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 15 | +14.9 |
| V. de Jesus | 37 | 6-7 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 11 | +28.9 |
| Malaya Cowles | 30 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 9 | +34.2 |
| Gisela Sanchez | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -2 | +4.2 |
| Kelly Ratigan | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.1 |
| Jordyn Smith | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3.7 |
| Luci Jensen | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.7 |
* = starter