Model Predictions
| Model | Stanford Cardinal | North Carolina Tar Heels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 9.8% | 90.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 15.4% | 84.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 7.7% | 92.3% | +13.6 | ✗ (19.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.4% | 57.6% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 12.5% | 87.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 5.2% | 94.8% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 4.7% | 95.3% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 21.9% | 78.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: North Carolina Tar Heels -6 (71-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Stanford Cardinal
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Somfai | 38 | 5-12 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 7 | +20.0 |
| C. Clardy | 38 | 4-13 | 2-8 | 2-3 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 12 | 8 | +12.6 |
| C. Ogden | 35 | 8-12 | 1-3 | 4-5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 10 | +24.8 |
| T. Lepolo | 31 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 1 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 11 | +17.8 |
| S. Ijiwoye | 22 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | +8.1 |
| H. Swain | 22 | 3-9 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 1 | -1.9 |
| N. Agara | 18 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 4 | +4.9 |
| M. Stevenson | 13 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -4.5 |
| A. Eschmeyer | 8 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 3-3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 8 | +1.6 |
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Toomey | 40 | 7-11 | 0-3 | 2-4 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 11 | -8.4 |
| I. Nivar | 37 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 1-4 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 3 | -4.8 |
| L. Grant | 34 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 3-4 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 12 | -8.3 |
| Elina Aarnisalo | 34 | 4-9 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 7 | -2.9 |
| N. Harris | 29 | 6-9 | 0-1 | 6-10 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 12 | -5.6 |
| R. Kelly | 27 | 3-12 | 0-3 | 3-3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | -1 | -14.6 |
| N. Brooks | 17 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 1-3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | -4.6 |
| T. Henderson | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.0 |
| B. Thomas | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -1.2 |
| L. Hull | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.6 |
* = starter