Model Predictions
| Model | Cal Poly Mustangs | Stanford Cardinal | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 1.0% | 99.0% | +35.6 | ✓ (0.6 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.1% | 96.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 0.1% | 99.9% | +39.2 | ✓ (4.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 3.1% | 96.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Stanford Cardinal +35 (90-55). Ratings: 2025-26 season-end ratings.
Cal Poly Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charish Thompson * | 33 | 3-10 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 10 | -2 | -8.2 |
| Vanessa McManus * | 31 | 11-17 | 3-5 | 4-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 29 | 14 | -1.3 |
| Alana Goosby * | 28 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | -11.7 |
| Jordan Billing * | 20 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -13.2 |
| Madison Butcher * | 16 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | -3 | +0.3 |
| Ana Moleon Hidalgo | 28 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 4 | -5 | -20.4 |
| Gillian Bears | 20 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | -20.0 |
| Nora Perez | 16 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -2 | -12.2 |
| Vivian Franklin | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -8.3 |
Stanford Cardinal
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Courtney Ogden * | 27 | 5-10 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 13 | +17.6 |
| Talana Lepolo * | 24 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 9 | +9.9 |
| Lara Somfai * | 23 | 6-14 | 1-6 | 1-2 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 11 | +14.1 |
| Nunu Agara * | 21 | 6-10 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 14 | +6.3 |
| Hailee Swain * | 21 | 6-10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 4 | +2.3 |
| Chloe Clardy | 28 | 4-8 | 1-4 | 5-5 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 13 | +21.2 |
| M. Stevenson | 19 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 11 | +6.7 |
| Alexandra Eschmeyer | 14 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | +8.2 |
| Shay Ijiwoye | 12 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | +6.9 |
| Harper Peterson | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -1.0 |
| Carly Amborn | 4 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | -1.1 |
| Stavi Papadaki | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1.6 |
* = starter