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2026-01-01

Model Predictions

Model Clemson Tigers Virginia Cavaliers Spread Result
Elo 37.2% 62.8% -
Bradley-Terry 31.3% 68.7% -
Margin 27.3% 72.7% +5.4 (4.6 off)
Pythagorean 46.3% 53.7% -
Efficiency 49.9% 50.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 27.0% 73.0% -
Log Adjusted 26.5% 73.5% -
Points Off/Def 35.7% 64.3% -

Actual: Virginia Cavaliers +10 (73-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Clemson Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Rose 28 5-7 0-1 6-8 5 7 1 0 1 16 21 +0.9
H. Periman 28 0-2 0-2 0-0 5 0 0 0 2 0 1 -0.7
M. Moore 27 4-9 1-2 1-2 1 4 1 0 2 10 5 +1.0
T. Johnson-Matthews 26 3-15 0-4 0-0 2 0 1 0 0 6 -6 +21.5
R. Thompson 26 6-9 2-3 0-0 2 1 0 1 0 14 9 +3.7
D. Hinds 21 4-7 0-0 4-8 7 0 1 0 2 12 11 +9.2
R. Augustinaite 21 1-9 1-6 0-0 2 1 2 0 1 3 -2 +17.3
H. Kohn 18 1-4 0-3 0-0 0 1 1 0 0 2 0 -6.3
H. Harris 5 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 +6.1

Virginia Cavaliers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Johnson 34 2-7 0-3 8-8 0 8 3 1 4 12 13 -9.5
R. Levy 33 3-5 2-4 3-3 3 3 0 1 2 11 11 -1.8
S. Smith 31 5-9 3-5 1-1 10 2 0 0 3 14 14 -3.4
P. Clark 30 3-8 0-2 0-1 4 1 1 1 2 6 3 -7.8
T. Amanze 25 6-7 0-0 6-6 11 0 1 2 1 18 24 -21.5
C. Weimar 15 1-2 0-1 2-2 1 2 0 1 1 4 5 +15.7
G. White 11 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 2 0 1 1 2 4 -0.4
A. Ring 9 2-5 2-5 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 6 1 -0.7
J. Brown 7 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 +9.9
B. Hurd 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 -4.6

* = starter