Model Predictions
| Model | Clemson Tigers | Virginia Cavaliers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 20.8% | 79.2% | +6.5 | ✓ (3.5 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 39.0% | 61.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 40.1% | 59.9% | +4.4 | ✓ (5.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.2% | 51.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 42.6% | 57.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 37.4% | 62.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 39.9% | 60.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Virginia Cavaliers +10 (73-63). Ratings: 2025-26 season-end ratings.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Clemson Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hadley Periman * | 28 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Mia Moore * | 27 | 4-9 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 5 | - |
| Raven Thompson * | 26 | 6-9 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 9 | - |
| Rusne Augustinaite * | 21 | 1-9 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -2 | - |
| Hannah Kohn * | 18 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Rachael Rose | 28 | 5-7 | 0-1 | 6-8 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 21 | - |
| Taylor Johnson-Matthews | 26 | 3-15 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | -6 | - |
| Demeara Hinds | 21 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 4-8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 11 | - |
| Holland Harris | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Virginia Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kymora Johnson * | 34 | 2-7 | 0-3 | 8-8 | 0 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 13 | - |
| Romi Levy * | 33 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 3-3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 11 | - |
| Sa'Myah Smith * | 31 | 5-9 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 14 | - |
| Paris Clark * | 30 | 3-8 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Tabitha Amanze * | 25 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 18 | 24 | - |
| Caitlin Weimar | 15 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Gabby White | 11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Adeang Ring | 9 | 2-5 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | - |
| Jillian Brown | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Breona Hurd | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter