Model Predictions
| Model | NC State Wolfpack | Virginia Cavaliers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 37.1% | 62.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 47.0% | 53.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 61.5% | 38.5% | -2.6 | ✓ (0.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.3% | 53.7% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 39.7% | 60.3% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 64.9% | 35.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 65.7% | 34.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 52.3% | 47.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Virginia Cavaliers -2 (76-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.
NC State Wolfpack
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Z. Brooks | 42 | 8-15 | 2-2 | 19-20 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 37 | 31 | - |
| K. Pierre | 39 | 6-15 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 12 | - |
| Z. Jones | 37 | 5-16 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 0 | - |
| T. Trygger | 35 | 4-10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Q. Samuels | 33 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | - |
| M. Cox | 16 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| D. Lunan | 15 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| D. Quigley | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
Virginia Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Johnson | 43 | 9-23 | 6-14 | 2-2 | 3 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 26 | 13 | - |
| S. Smith | 37 | 3-12 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 4 | - |
| R. Levy | 27 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 10 | - |
| C. Weimar | 25 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 13 | - |
| T. Amanze | 24 | 7-14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 3 | - |
| G. White | 21 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 5 | - |
| P. Clark | 20 | 2-9 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | - |
| J. Brown | 17 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| B. Hurd | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| A. Ring | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter