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2026-01-08

Model Predictions

Model NC State Wolfpack Clemson Tigers Spread Result
Elo 41.3% 58.7% -
Bradley-Terry 59.3% 40.7% -
Margin 73.5% 26.5% -5.6 (15.6 off)
Pythagorean 47.0% 53.0% -
Efficiency 36.9% 63.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 80.1% 19.9% -
Log Adjusted 81.0% 19.0% -
Points Off/Def 60.0% 40.0% -

Actual: Clemson Tigers +10 (75-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.

NC State Wolfpack

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Z. Brooks 39 4-11 1-2 6-7 4 6 0 1 2 15 13 -3.9
K. Pierre 36 8-13 1-1 0-0 11 0 1 0 2 17 14 +9.8
T. Trygger 33 8-15 1-4 2-2 11 1 0 2 2 19 16 -4.7
Q. Samuels 32 2-10 0-5 0-0 4 1 0 0 2 4 -3 -9.2
D. Quigley 27 2-6 0-3 0-0 1 2 0 0 0 4 1 +8.4
D. Lunan 19 2-7 1-3 1-1 0 0 0 0 2 6 -3 -18.8
M. Cox 11 0-1 0-1 0-0 3 3 0 0 0 0 5 -19.6
A. Jernigan 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0.7

Clemson Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Thompson 39 4-7 1-3 5-6 2 4 2 0 2 14 13 +15.9
R. Augustinaite 30 5-10 1-4 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 11 5 -2.7
R. Rose 29 8-12 3-4 0-0 8 1 1 0 0 19 17 +19.4
M. Moore 27 4-9 0-3 2-3 10 4 1 1 2 10 15 +16.3
H. Periman 24 0-5 0-5 0-0 4 0 0 1 0 0 0 +7.7
T. Johnson-Matthews 23 5-11 3-5 0-0 1 0 1 0 1 13 3 +16.4
D. Hinds 16 4-8 0-0 0-0 5 0 1 0 2 8 4 +2.4
H. Kohn 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -7.3

* = starter