Model Predictions
| Model | California Golden Bears | NC State Wolfpack | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 41.2% | 58.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 28.5% | 71.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 12.3% | 87.7% | +10.8 | ✓ (0.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.3% | 55.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 22.1% | 77.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 14.4% | 85.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 13.8% | 86.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 27.4% | 72.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: NC State Wolfpack +11 (71-60). Predictions use season-end ratings.
California Golden Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Twidale | 40 | 5-17 | 3-11 | 3-4 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 5 | +0.8 |
| T. Barnes | 40 | 6-15 | 1-7 | 2-2 | 11 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 12 | -0.8 |
| G. Maul | 38 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 15 | -1.5 |
| M. Sheppard | 35 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | +14.9 |
| N. Ojukwu | 21 | 7-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 7 | +4.7 |
| S. Walker | 19 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 7 | -5.7 |
| L. Donez | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -3 | -9.0 |
| G. McCallop | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -2.5 |
NC State Wolfpack
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q. Samuels | 40 | 5-11 | 1-7 | 2-3 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 13 | +2.6 |
| Z. Jones | 37 | 5-13 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 11 | +4.4 |
| K. Pierre | 36 | 9-15 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 16 | +11.3 |
| M. Cox | 36 | 0-5 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | +1.5 |
| Z. Brooks | 35 | 8-16 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 11 | -4.8 |
| D. Lunan | 10 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 4 | +6.9 |
| M. Collier | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +0.2 |
* = starter