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2025-11-22

Model Predictions

Model Mercer Bears Eastern Kentucky Colonels Spread Result
Elo 64.1% 35.9% -
Bradley-Terry 67.1% 32.9% -
Margin 72.0% 28.0% -5.2 (6.8 off)
Pythagorean 62.4% 37.6% -
Efficiency 92.3% 7.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 74.9% 25.1% -
Log Adjusted 74.9% 25.1% -
Points Off/Def 59.6% 40.4% -

Actual: Eastern Kentucky Colonels -12 (83-95). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Mercer Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Shoulders * 38 2-7 0-2 6-6 5 1 1 0 1 10 9 +6.8
A. Mighty * 35 6-7 0-0 1-2 12 3 1 3 3 13 22 +11.1
Q. Perkins II * 32 7-9 4-5 2-2 2 5 1 0 4 20 15 +13.1
B. Okojie * 31 6-14 2-4 4-6 5 5 3 0 3 18 14 +2.1
Z. Williams * 30 6-13 2-5 0-0 6 4 1 0 3 14 9 +8.9
T. Gross 16 3-4 2-3 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 8 8 +8.1
K. Cuffe Jr. 13 4-5 3-3 1-2 2 0 0 0 0 12 9 +0.2
B. Pierre 5 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -0.1

Eastern Kentucky Colonels

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Myrick * 31 4-7 0-0 2-2 6 2 2 0 4 10 9 -12.7
J. Cranford Jr. * 28 7-18 4-9 0-0 3 1 3 1 1 18 7 -
J. Holt * 27 4-7 2-4 2-2 4 3 0 0 1 12 11 -11.3
M. Williams * 25 2-10 1-5 2-3 5 2 0 0 0 7 4 -11.2
A. Ball * 21 4-8 2-3 1-2 7 1 1 1 1 11 12 -10.7
J. Cooper 20 1-4 1-1 1-2 1 2 1 1 1 4 4 -8.1
T. Buttry 20 3-9 1-4 2-2 3 5 0 0 1 9 7 +5.8
T. Jackson 18 5-10 0-3 2-2 3 0 1 0 1 12 5 +3.0
Y. Paul 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 +7.1
M. Miles 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2.0

* = starter