Model Predictions
| Model | Mercer Bears | Eastern Kentucky Colonels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 64.1% | 35.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 67.1% | 32.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 72.0% | 28.0% | -5.2 | ✓ (6.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 62.4% | 37.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 92.3% | 7.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 74.9% | 25.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 74.9% | 25.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 59.6% | 40.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Eastern Kentucky Colonels -12 (83-95). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Mercer Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Shoulders * | 38 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 6-6 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 9 | +6.8 |
| A. Mighty * | 35 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 22 | +11.1 |
| Q. Perkins II * | 32 | 7-9 | 4-5 | 2-2 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 15 | +13.1 |
| B. Okojie * | 31 | 6-14 | 2-4 | 4-6 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 14 | +2.1 |
| Z. Williams * | 30 | 6-13 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 9 | +8.9 |
| T. Gross | 16 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 8 | +8.1 |
| K. Cuffe Jr. | 13 | 4-5 | 3-3 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 9 | +0.2 |
| B. Pierre | 5 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | -0.1 |
Eastern Kentucky Colonels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Myrick * | 31 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 9 | -12.7 |
| J. Cranford Jr. * | 28 | 7-18 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 7 | - |
| J. Holt * | 27 | 4-7 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 11 | -11.3 |
| M. Williams * | 25 | 2-10 | 1-5 | 2-3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 4 | -11.2 |
| A. Ball * | 21 | 4-8 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 12 | -10.7 |
| J. Cooper | 20 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | -8.1 |
| T. Buttry | 20 | 3-9 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 7 | +5.8 |
| T. Jackson | 18 | 5-10 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 5 | +3.0 |
| Y. Paul | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | +7.1 |
| M. Miles | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.0 |
* = starter