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2025-11-06

Model Predictions

Model UMBC Retrievers Maryland Terrapins Spread Result
Elo 35.8% 64.2% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 14.7% 85.3% - โœ“
Margin 0.1% 99.9% +36.3 โœ“ (3.3 off)
Pythagorean 31.6% 68.4% - โœ“
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 1.0% 99.0% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 4.3% 95.7% - โœ“

Actual: Maryland Terrapins +33 (87-54). Predictions use season-end ratings.

UMBC Retrievers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jade Tillman 36 4-14 1-2 8-8 4 1 4 2 6 17 8 -10.5
Carmen Yanez 31 1-3 0-0 0-0 2 5 0 0 6 2 0 -7.0
Gabby Scott 28 0-4 0-4 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 -3 -19.6
Kennedy Austin 23 6-9 2-2 0-0 1 1 1 0 4 14 4 -15.0
Heidi Williams 23 5-12 1-2 1-1 4 0 2 1 3 12 4 -20.4
Delaney Yarborough 20 1-1 0-0 2-2 2 0 0 0 0 4 5 -10.2
A. Williams 19 1-4 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 1 0 2 1 -12.3
Tiara Bellamy 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 0 2 +10.1
Lauren Thompson 3 1-2 1-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 1 -3.7
Dagny Slomack 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -4.4

Maryland Terrapins

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Yarden Garzon 30 4-13 2-9 2-2 3 4 1 0 1 12 6 +20.7
Oluchi Okananwa 24 7-13 1-7 0-0 6 3 2 0 2 15 11 +4.5
R. Welson 24 2-3 0-0 2-2 0 2 2 0 1 6 6 +17.6
S. Poffenbarger 20 4-5 3-4 0-0 2 2 0 0 3 11 7 +10.5
A. Mack 18 0-2 0-1 2-2 1 3 1 1 2 2 4 +13.2
M. Boiko 17 4-6 0-0 0-0 7 0 1 1 1 8 10 +11.6
L. Bartelme 17 2-3 1-1 0-0 2 7 1 0 0 5 12 +8.3
K. Walker 16 1-5 1-4 4-4 3 2 2 0 1 7 8 +1.2
I. Ozzy-Momodu 15 7-8 0-0 1-4 3 0 1 0 3 15 8 +11.2
B. Williams 8 0-0 0-0 2-2 2 0 0 0 1 2 3 +3.9
A. McKennie 6 0-0 0-0 2-4 1 0 0 0 2 2 1 +4.0
M. McLean 5 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 2 +11.2

* = starter