Model Predictions
| Model | North Texas Mean Green | Illinois Fighting Illini | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 24.8% | 75.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 18.3% | 81.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 3.1% | 96.9% | +19.0 | ✓ (7.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.4% | 57.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 12.6% | 87.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 15.3% | 84.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Illinois Fighting Illini +12 (81-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.
North Texas Mean Green
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Schissler | 34 | 5-11 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 9 | +2.1 |
| T. Hammond | 32 | 6-12 | 3-8 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 9 | -2.6 |
| T. Lidge | 24 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 6 | -4.0 |
| A. Proctor | 24 | 3-8 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 0 | -4.0 |
| M. Nestor | 22 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 3 | +9.8 |
| C. Price | 14 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | +6.2 |
| J. Owens-Barnett | 14 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 3-5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | -1 | -3.5 |
| C. Spencer | 10 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | +3.5 |
| S. Thornton | 10 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 3 | -6.9 |
| A. Tac | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | -0.7 |
| M. Chase | 6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +2.1 |
| J. Talley | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -4.6 |
Illinois Fighting Illini
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Wallace | 39 | 8-14 | 3-5 | 9-11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 28 | 21 | +3.2 |
| M. Webber | 33 | 5-8 | 3-4 | 3-4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 13 | +3.0 |
| G. Dolan | 31 | 5-13 | 4-6 | 5-6 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 15 | +5.2 |
| D. Jackson | 29 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 3 | +3.2 |
| C. Parchment | 23 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 12 | +3.5 |
| J. Brown-Hagger | 18 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 2 | +5.8 |
| L. Vasconcelos | 14 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | +7.2 |
| I. Noya Catoira | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -4.5 |
| N. Benson | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +1.0 |
| H. Smith | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3.3 |
* = starter