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2025-11-23

Model Predictions

Model Brown Bears Maine Black Bears Spread Result
Elo 61.0% 39.0% -
Bradley-Terry 50.2% 49.8% -
Margin 68.8% 31.2% -4.3 (0.7 off)
Pythagorean 55.1% 44.9% -
Efficiency 10.9% 89.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 79.4% 20.6% -
Log Adjusted 79.8% 20.2% -
Points Off/Def 57.8% 42.2% -

Actual: Maine Black Bears -5 (53-58). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Brown Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Jenkins * 32 0-5 0-2 2-2 3 2 1 0 3 2 0 +1.6
L. Lewis * 28 5-9 0-0 3-5 4 2 1 0 4 13 7 +3.9
N. Dabo * 27 4-6 0-0 3-5 8 0 2 0 0 11 15 +1.8
I. Langham * 20 4-6 1-3 0-0 3 1 1 0 0 9 8 -0.6
L. Paragon * 11 1-4 0-1 2-2 3 1 0 0 0 4 4 +8.1
A. Uchidiuno 28 3-10 0-3 0-0 3 2 2 0 1 6 2 -3.7
D. Rochester 25 1-5 0-2 2-2 4 2 2 0 3 4 4 -1.5
M. Wrisby-Jefferson 15 0-4 0-1 0-0 3 1 1 0 0 0 1 +5.9
B. Loughlin 14 3-5 3-5 0-0 2 1 0 0 2 9 5 -4.9

Maine Black Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
TJ Biel * 36 5-12 2-4 0-1 3 0 3 2 0 12 8 -8.2
R. Mabrey * 28 4-10 1-4 2-2 2 3 1 1 1 11 7 -7.2
B. N'Galang * 25 3-6 1-3 0-0 2 4 0 0 1 7 6 -2.5
M. Gray * 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -2 -9.9
K. Steele * 15 3-4 0-0 0-0 4 1 1 0 3 6 5 -1.2
A. Flagg 28 1-3 0-1 2-4 6 0 0 0 3 4 4 +7.4
Y. Bamba 20 2-6 0-2 2-4 5 2 0 0 2 6 5 +12.0
C. Crawford 15 0-2 0-2 0-0 1 1 3 0 3 0 0 -0.1
I. Bonilla 11 3-5 1-3 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 7 3 +2.8
L. Carey 5 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 -2.8
E. Byther 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -3.9

* = starter