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2025-11-20

Model Predictions

Model Brown Bears Stony Brook Seawolves Spread Result
Elo 23.4% 76.6% -
Bradley-Terry 22.4% 77.6% -
Margin 23.9% 76.1% +6.4 (3.6 off)
Pythagorean 37.8% 62.2% -
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 29.0% 71.0% -
Log Adjusted 29.0% 71.0% -
Points Off/Def 34.5% 65.5% -

Actual: Stony Brook Seawolves +10 (80-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Brown Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Jenkins * 30 3-8 1-3 0-0 4 7 0 0 4 7 6 -4.4
I. Langham * 24 5-8 1-1 0-0 1 1 3 0 0 11 8 -14.3
L. Lewis * 22 6-15 1-2 0-2 6 0 1 1 3 13 3 +3.7
N. Dabo * 21 2-3 0-0 4-5 6 0 0 1 0 8 12 +1.7
L. Paragon * 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -5.1
A. Uchidiuno 33 5-13 3-8 1-2 7 2 1 1 1 14 11 +2.7
D. Rochester 23 4-6 1-2 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 9 5 -8.3
M. Wrisby-Jefferson 18 1-3 0-0 0-0 5 3 2 0 1 2 8 -1.1
B. Loughlin 14 2-4 1-3 1-2 1 0 0 0 0 6 3 -1.3
W. DeGraaf 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 2 0 0 3 -7.1
C. O'Sullivan 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 1 0 1 -

Stony Brook Seawolves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Brown III * 37 2-8 2-5 6-6 4 2 2 1 2 12 11 +4.5
E. Pratt * 34 10-20 3-6 4-6 2 4 3 1 0 27 17 -3.7
C. O'Connor * 27 2-4 0-0 0-0 4 2 1 1 0 4 8 -0.7
R. Goods * 27 5-8 2-3 1-4 7 1 0 0 2 13 11 +6.1
Q. Gorman * 18 3-7 0-2 1-1 6 1 1 1 0 7 9 +3.3
A. Shoshkikj 23 3-4 0-0 0-0 2 5 3 0 3 6 9 +22.3
T. Valentiny 22 3-5 1-3 1-1 2 0 0 0 0 8 5 +4.3
O. Kojenets 12 1-4 0-0 1-2 4 0 1 0 1 3 3 +1.0

* = starter