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2025-11-07

Model Predictions

Model Siena Saints Brown Bears Spread Result
Elo 85.3% 14.7% -
Bradley-Terry 78.4% 21.6% -
Margin 69.4% 30.6% -4.5 (11.5 off)
Pythagorean 66.7% 33.3% -
Efficiency 96.7% 3.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 78.5% 21.5% -
Log Adjusted 78.4% 21.6% -
Points Off/Def 58.0% 42.0% -

Actual: Brown Bears -16 (46-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Siena Saints

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Shoats * 29 1-6 0-1 3-4 2 3 0 1 5 5 0 +11.4
G. Doty * 28 9-12 0-0 3-4 5 2 1 0 0 21 17 +14.5
T. Goodrick * 26 3-7 0-0 2-4 10 1 3 0 0 8 15 -1.3
B. Coyle * 26 1-7 1-6 0-0 6 0 1 0 2 3 1 +0.5
A. Chandler * 22 4-7 0-1 1-2 5 0 2 0 1 9 8 +7.8
F. Folefac 17 1-3 0-0 1-2 5 0 0 1 2 3 4 +3.9
C. Jones 15 0-5 0-2 0-0 1 3 1 0 1 0 -1 -
R. Mulvey 13 3-4 0-0 1-2 4 1 1 0 0 7 9 +12.9
I. Henderson 12 0-5 0-4 2-2 1 1 0 0 1 2 -2 +3.9
O. Schlager 9 1-1 0-0 2-2 1 0 0 0 1 4 3 +1.9
M. Jackson 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 +2.0
C. Torres 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Brown Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Uchidiuno * 30 4-15 2-7 1-2 4 0 1 0 2 11 -1 -7.5
J. Jenkins * 27 2-8 0-2 0-0 5 5 2 1 3 4 6 -10.7
N. Dabo * 26 3-3 0-0 0-0 7 1 0 1 2 6 10 -4.6
W. DeGraaf * 24 1-3 0-0 0-0 5 0 1 1 2 2 4 -3.6
M. Wrisby-Jefferson * 21 0-6 0-2 0-0 2 2 1 0 1 0 -2 -0.6
I. Langham 22 2-7 0-3 0-0 3 0 1 0 3 4 -2 -9.8
C. O'Sullivan 18 3-6 2-5 0-0 2 0 1 1 0 8 6 -
B. Loughlin 15 1-7 0-3 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 2 -3 -9.7
L. Paragon 12 1-3 0-2 3-4 0 1 1 1 0 5 5 -1.8
D. Kania 5 0-0 0-0 4-4 0 0 0 0 1 4 3 -2.0

* = starter