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2026-01-24

Model Predictions

Model Columbia Lions Dartmouth Big Green Spread Result
Elo 59.0% 41.0% -
Bradley-Terry 63.2% 36.8% -
Margin 64.9% 35.1% -3.4 (6.6 off)
Pythagorean 61.2% 38.8% -
Efficiency 74.8% 25.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 71.2% 28.8% -
Log Adjusted 71.2% 28.8% -
Points Off/Def 55.6% 44.4% -

Actual: Dartmouth Big Green -10 (69-79). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Columbia Lions

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Noland 40 7-19 3-9 11-11 11 5 3 0 4 28 24 +8.4
B. Thompson 37 4-10 2-6 0-0 5 0 1 0 1 10 5 +0.3
H. Sanders 30 5-9 3-5 4-6 2 4 1 0 0 17 15 +9.9
R. Soulis 29 3-9 0-4 2-4 6 3 1 3 0 8 12 +0.9
M. Ritter 20 2-4 0-0 0-4 4 2 0 1 1 4 6 +10.1
R. Nweke 16 0-2 0-0 3-4 5 1 1 1 1 3 8 +5.6
C. Igoe 15 1-4 1-1 0-0 3 4 0 1 2 3 5 +0.4
G. O'Keefe 13 2-4 2-4 0-0 3 0 1 0 0 6 6 +6.2

Dartmouth Big Green

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Amundsen 34 5-8 2-4 1-1 3 7 0 0 2 13 13 -3.8
B. Mitchell-Day 34 7-16 4-6 2-4 12 1 0 0 2 20 15 -18.0
K. Thomas 31 2-10 2-4 5-7 4 4 1 0 0 11 10 -9.6
J. Munro 27 4-10 3-8 2-2 4 1 0 2 1 13 9 -0.8
J. Williams 23 0-4 0-3 2-3 5 1 2 1 0 2 7 +3.7
C. Hiatt 22 2-3 1-2 1-2 2 1 1 1 2 6 6 -7.2
C. McNamee 13 0-3 0-1 0-0 3 0 1 0 1 0 0 -9.5
A. Strelnikov 8 2-3 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 1 1 4 3 +2.3
N. Abusara 8 0-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 +0.3

* = starter