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2025-12-28

Model Predictions

Model Columbia Lions North Florida Ospreys Spread Result
Elo 75.2% 24.8% -
Bradley-Terry 75.4% 24.6% -
Margin 87.4% 12.6% -10.7 (2.7 off)
Pythagorean 75.4% 24.6% -
Efficiency 34.2% 65.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 87.2% 12.8% -
Log Adjusted 87.3% 12.7% -
Points Off/Def 70.7% 29.3% -

Actual: North Florida Ospreys -8 (82-90). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Columbia Lions

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Noland 33 9-15 4-7 5-6 4 3 1 0 2 27 18 +1.8
M. Ritter 30 2-4 0-0 0-0 3 2 1 0 1 4 5 -2.9
B. Thompson 29 3-6 1-3 5-6 5 1 1 0 1 12 12 -6.1
M. Franklin 29 6-12 0-3 7-8 7 2 1 0 2 19 15 +10.3
C. Igoe 24 3-5 0-1 0-0 9 6 0 1 3 6 14 +8.7
R. Soulis 23 5-6 1-2 0-1 6 2 1 0 1 11 13 +2.0
G. O'Keefe 18 2-4 1-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 5 1 +2.4
H. Sanders 14 2-3 2-2 0-0 1 2 1 0 1 6 6 +0.1

North Florida Ospreys

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Oriol 36 9-17 2-6 4-4 4 5 1 0 1 24 16 +2.4
K. Jackson 32 6-11 4-9 2-2 4 2 1 0 1 18 13 +3.6
D. Hines 30 3-9 0-2 0-0 8 4 0 0 1 6 8 +2.4
M. Lee 27 3-6 1-4 0-0 0 1 1 0 1 7 2 -7.2
D. Gayman 24 4-8 3-4 5-6 4 0 0 0 1 16 11 -0.7
B. Plummer 21 1-3 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 1 1 2 1 -15.4
N. Dyachok 15 2-4 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 4 1 +7.7
T. Cady 12 2-7 1-3 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 5 -1 -6.3
T. Thompson 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -5.6

* = starter