Model Predictions
| Model | Columbia Lions | Fairfield Stags | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 25.1% | 74.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 41.8% | 58.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 58.2% | 41.8% | -1.8 | ✓ (27.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.6% | 55.4% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 52.5% | 47.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Fairfield Stags -29 (77-106). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Columbia Lions
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Thompson * | 28 | 9-12 | 4-6 | 1-1 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 23 | 18 | +33.1 |
| K. Noland * | 25 | 6-11 | 2-4 | 6-6 | 1 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 18 | +28.2 |
| M. Ritter * | 25 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 14 | +29.4 |
| Ryan Soulis * | 24 | 3-7 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 8 | +16.2 |
| M. Franklin * | 24 | 6-10 | 1-3 | 5-6 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 16 | +10.2 |
| G. O'Keefe | 27 | 5-8 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 9 | +16.3 |
| R. Nweke | 15 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | +0.2 |
| H. Sanders | 15 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | +1.4 |
| C. Igoe | 14 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 4 | +9.2 |
| L. Coleman | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | +4.1 |
| E. Bai | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.0 |
Fairfield Stags
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon Benjamin * | 34 | 3-10 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 8 | -25.5 |
| Declan Wucherpfennig * | 32 | 4-7 | 2-3 | 3-5 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 14 | -31.7 |
| Braden Sparks * | 21 | 3-10 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | -2 | -26.2 |
| Deuce Turner * | 21 | 5-12 | 1-4 | 3-3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 3 | -16.1 |
| Eric Mejia * | 12 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -17.0 |
| Cam Estevez | 21 | 8-11 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 7 | -19.3 |
| Tony Williams | 19 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 3 | -3.0 |
| Nasir Rodriguez | 16 | 3-7 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 2 | +0.2 |
| Halon Rawlins | 10 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | -6.1 |
| Isaac Munkadi | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -2.1 |
| Michael Rogan | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1.1 |
* = starter