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2025-11-27

Model Predictions

Model NC State Wolfpack Green Bay Phoenix Spread Result
Elo 45.1% 54.9% -
Bradley-Terry 54.4% 45.6% -
Margin 94.6% 5.4% -15.8 (3.8 off)
Pythagorean 47.1% 52.9% -
Efficiency 62.7% 37.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 94.1% 5.9% -
Log Adjusted 94.5% 5.5% -
Points Off/Def 78.5% 21.5% -

Actual: Green Bay Phoenix -12 (67-79). Predictions use season-end ratings.

NC State Wolfpack

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Z. Brooks 36 8-19 0-3 5-7 3 7 2 0 2 21 12 +21.6
Z. Jones 30 7-13 3-7 0-1 3 2 0 0 1 17 8 +11.6
K. Pierre 28 6-14 0-0 0-2 21 0 0 3 2 12 20 +12.0
T. Trygger 24 4-5 1-1 0-0 8 1 0 0 3 9 10 +7.7
Q. Samuels 21 2-7 1-3 2-2 3 0 0 1 0 7 4 +1.0
D. Quigley 21 3-5 2-2 0-0 3 1 1 0 2 8 6 +13.1
M. Cox 18 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 1 1 2 4 +0.4
D. Lunan 17 0-2 0-2 1-4 0 1 0 0 1 1 -1 -0.6
M. Collier 5 1-1 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 2 3 -0.8

Green Bay Phoenix

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Skorupski 37 3-10 1-3 0-0 7 3 4 0 1 7 10 -2.5
G. Grzesk 35 8-15 4-9 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 20 4 -10.9
C. Duffney 27 5-9 0-1 0-0 2 4 1 0 0 10 8 -13.3
J. Guyer 26 5-10 3-7 2-2 3 1 0 0 1 15 8 -5.3
M. Schultz 24 2-8 0-0 5-8 5 2 1 0 2 9 7 +3.1
Kamy Peppler 21 1-5 1-4 0-0 3 4 0 0 1 3 4 -6.6
E. Buzzelle 19 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 3 1 2 1 0 9 -0.8
K. Ouimette 11 1-6 1-3 0-2 0 0 0 0 1 3 -4 +0.2

* = starter