Model Predictions
| Model | Youngstown State Penguins | Wright State Raiders | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 83.0% | 17.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 83.8% | 16.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 87.4% | 12.6% | -10.6 | ✓ (0.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 75.7% | 24.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 91.2% | 8.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 92.2% | 7.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 92.2% | 7.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 70.6% | 29.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Wright State Raiders -11 (67-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Youngstown State Penguins
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Casey Santoro | 45 | 4-12 | 1-6 | 9-9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 14 | -21.4 |
| D. Cameron | 44 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 11 | -18.7 |
| E. King | 37 | 1-7 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | -16.0 |
| S. Baker | 34 | 11-16 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 25 | 23 | -23.9 |
| S. Gregory | 28 | 6-12 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 9 | -18.8 |
| P. Hernandez | 19 | 3-10 | 0-2 | 4-5 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 13 | -3.7 |
| B. Adkins | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | +9.8 |
| H. Barrier | 9 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | +0.7 |
Wright State Raiders
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Breezie Williams | 42 | 6-20 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 4 | +25.0 |
| Ellie Magestro-Kennedy | 34 | 6-13 | 2-5 | 3-3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 10 | +7.6 |
| Claire Henson | 34 | 4-11 | 0-2 | 5-6 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 8 | +12.2 |
| M. Dilen | 26 | 5-9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 6 | +23.2 |
| Lauren Scott | 22 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | +5.3 |
| Olivia Brown | 19 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 | +20.7 |
| Rylee Sagester | 18 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | +6.5 |
| Grace Okih | 15 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 11 | +5.9 |
| Abbie Riddle | 10 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | +0.1 |
| Elaina Rager | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | -1.1 |
| Florrie Cotterill | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter