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2026-01-07

Model Predictions

Model Wright State Raiders Cleveland State Vikings Spread Result
Elo 13.6% 86.4% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 13.7% 86.3% - โœ“
Margin 5.3% 94.7% +15.9 โœ“ (3.9 off)
Pythagorean 16.7% 83.3% - โœ“
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 1.2% 98.8% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 1.2% 98.8% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 18.6% 81.4% - โœ“

Actual: Cleveland State Vikings +12 (87-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Wright State Raiders

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Claire Henson 35 4-7 0-0 6-8 2 4 2 1 3 14 13 +18.6
Breezie Williams 34 7-16 2-5 4-4 4 5 2 0 3 20 12 +12.8
Rylee Sagester 28 0-5 0-5 0-0 1 0 1 0 1 0 -4 +10.5
Lauren Scott 25 4-10 4-9 2-2 1 1 0 0 1 14 5 +3.1
Abbie Riddle 24 2-4 0-0 0-0 3 0 3 0 0 4 6 +17.6
Ellie Magestro-Kennedy 23 6-14 4-8 2-2 2 1 2 1 1 18 9 +10.5
Olivia Brown 10 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 3 1 0 0 0 2 +11.2
M. Dilen 7 1-1 0-0 1-1 2 0 0 0 0 3 4 -8.7
Grace Okih 6 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -1 +3.6
Elaina Rager 5 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 2 0 -0.8
Florrie Cotterill 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 +5.1

Cleveland State Vikings

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Fegan 37 5-7 0-0 6-7 10 6 1 1 2 16 25 -11.9
J. Leonard 35 3-6 2-4 8-11 2 5 2 0 8 16 11 -13.5
I. Zingaro 26 7-12 0-0 5-6 7 0 0 1 1 19 14 -11.9
C. Maples 23 2-8 1-7 2-2 3 3 2 0 1 7 6 -18.0
P. Pique 22 1-3 1-2 1-2 2 2 1 0 2 4 4 +2.7
S. Hurley 22 3-6 3-6 0-0 9 1 0 0 0 9 13 -11.3
Ella Van Weelden 18 3-8 3-8 0-0 4 2 0 1 2 9 6 -9.8
L. Rockwood 9 2-2 0-0 1-2 3 1 0 0 1 5 6 -6.6
A. Magassa 8 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 2 1 +4.4
H. Medina Kajevic 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0.4

* = starter