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2026-02-28

Model Predictions

Model Detroit Mercy Titans Oakland Golden Grizzlies Spread Result
Elo 62.4% 37.6% -
Bradley-Terry 40.4% 59.6% -
Margin 23.9% 76.1% +6.4 (12.4 off)
Pythagorean 44.3% 55.7% -
Efficiency 88.1% 11.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 28.5% 71.5% -
Log Adjusted 28.4% 71.6% -
Points Off/Def 34.8% 65.2% -

Actual: Oakland Golden Grizzlies -6 (89-95). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Detroit Mercy Titans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Nadeau 35 7-11 5-7 9-10 3 5 0 0 1 28 24 +13.7
L. Geeter 34 5-9 0-0 3-5 6 6 3 0 3 13 16 +4.8
O. Lovejoy 31 13-16 0-0 3-4 1 4 2 0 0 29 20 +7.4
T. Spratt 31 5-11 1-5 4-4 4 4 0 0 1 15 11 +14.2
R. Kalambay 28 2-2 0-0 4-6 6 0 1 1 0 8 14 +8.3
L. Stone 21 0-6 0-3 0-0 1 2 0 0 0 0 -3 -5.0
N. Johnson 8 0-1 0-0 0-0 3 1 1 0 1 0 3 +0.6
L. Maiden 7 1-3 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 0 +4.4
J. Cotton 5 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -2.6

Oakland Golden Grizzlies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Robinson 39 4-10 2-8 9-10 4 9 0 0 3 19 19 -9.2
T. Naivalurua 34 9-12 2-3 4-5 4 3 1 0 0 24 20 -11.8
B. White II 29 6-12 5-9 0-0 6 1 1 1 1 17 13 -1.3
I. Garrett 28 6-9 0-0 3-3 6 1 0 1 4 15 10 -14.1
Z. Wells 27 1-5 1-2 0-2 4 3 1 0 3 3 3 +3.1
W. Marshall IV 27 2-3 0-1 1-1 3 0 1 0 0 5 6 +7.8
M. Houge 11 3-5 0-1 0-1 2 0 0 0 2 6 1 -16.6
K. Thurmon 5 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 1 -1.4

* = starter