Model Predictions
| Model | Youngstown State Penguins | Detroit Mercy Titans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 14.8% | 85.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 38.9% | 61.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 44.7% | 55.3% | +1.2 | ✓ (4.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 52.3% | 47.7% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 92.5% | 7.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 51.2% | 48.8% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 51.3% | 48.7% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 46.0% | 54.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Detroit Mercy Titans +6 (76-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Youngstown State Penguins
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Carroll | 38 | 4-12 | 1-7 | 0-1 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 1 | - |
| B. Dawkins | 35 | 8-16 | 1-4 | 3-6 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 12 | - |
| J. Nelson | 31 | 1-8 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| T. Blackshear | 26 | 9-9 | 2-2 | 2-3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 22 | 21 | - |
| R. Rolf | 24 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 9 | - |
| C. Polak | 16 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| V. Salaridze | 12 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| I. Zorgvol | 9 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| D. King | 9 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | -1 | - |
Detroit Mercy Titans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| O. Lovejoy | 32 | 6-14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 5 | - |
| T. Spratt | 28 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 7-8 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 22 | - |
| T. Nadeau | 27 | 4-12 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 4 | - |
| R. Kalambay | 27 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 11 | - |
| L. Geeter | 26 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | - |
| L. Stone | 23 | 4-8 | 1-1 | 3-4 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 9 | - |
| J. Cotton | 13 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| L. Maiden | 10 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 9 | - |
| N. Johnson | 7 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | - |
| J. Lary | 7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
* = starter