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2026-02-12

Model Predictions

Model Detroit Mercy Titans Wright State Raiders Spread Result
Elo 43.6% 56.4% -
Bradley-Terry 27.2% 72.8% -
Margin 19.2% 80.8% +7.9 (10.9 off)
Pythagorean 35.8% 64.2% -
Efficiency 43.1% 56.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 22.0% 78.0% -
Log Adjusted 21.9% 78.1% -
Points Off/Def 30.8% 69.2% -

Actual: Wright State Raiders -3 (74-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Detroit Mercy Titans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Spratt 38 4-10 1-4 0-0 6 4 2 1 1 9 11 -
L. Geeter 31 4-8 0-2 0-0 8 2 1 1 0 8 12 -
O. Lovejoy 30 7-11 0-0 4-5 4 3 1 1 4 18 12 -
T. Nadeau 22 2-5 0-1 2-2 1 0 0 0 1 6 1 -
R. Kalambay 22 3-4 0-0 2-2 7 0 2 3 0 8 16 -
L. Stone 19 3-6 1-2 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 7 1 -
L. Maiden 17 5-10 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 0 3 10 2 -
N. Johnson 12 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 0 0 2 4 -
J. Cotton 7 3-5 3-4 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 9 5 -
J. Lary 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

Wright State Raiders

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Pangonis 33 2-7 2-5 2-2 2 0 0 0 0 8 3 -
S. Callaghan 29 2-8 1-6 0-0 7 1 0 0 0 5 5 -
K. Pickett 29 3-7 0-2 3-4 4 1 0 4 1 9 10 -
M. Cooper 27 5-13 3-5 2-2 3 4 0 1 1 15 9 -
M. Imariagbe 25 2-7 0-0 1-4 5 4 0 0 2 5 5 -
T. Burch 21 5-12 0-4 1-1 2 3 1 0 1 11 4 -
A. Holden 19 5-6 0-0 5-5 5 0 1 0 1 15 14 -
L. Woods 6 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -
S. Alamutu 6 1-1 0-0 1-1 0 1 2 0 0 3 5 -
A. Bruskotter 5 1-2 1-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 3 2 -

* = starter