Model Predictions
| Model | Youngstown State Penguins | Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 28.5% | 71.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 44.3% | 55.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 52.7% | 47.3% | -0.6 | ✓ (28.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 57.2% | 42.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 50.2% | 49.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 62.1% | 37.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 62.2% | 37.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 49.8% | 50.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons -29 (61-90). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Youngstown State Penguins
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Carroll | 32 | 5-10 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 12 | 6 | - |
| R. Rolf | 29 | 5-8 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 13 | - |
| B. Dawkins | 27 | 8-11 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 11 | - |
| C. Polak | 25 | 3-6 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 5 | - |
| J. Nelson | 22 | 3-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 8 | - |
| T. Blackshear | 20 | 5-7 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 9 | - |
| I. Zorgvol | 19 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 11 | - |
| D. King | 18 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - |
| S. Solebo | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| V. Salaridze | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| D. Anderson | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Craig | 29 | 4-12 | 1-4 | 5-7 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 10 | - |
| C. Hadnot II | 28 | 8-15 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 7 | - |
| M. Nelson | 27 | 1-5 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | - |
| M. Stevenson | 27 | 5-11 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 10 | -1 | - |
| C. Morgan | 19 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 5 | - |
| D. Elisee | 18 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | - |
| D. Duffy | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| E. Mosley | 14 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 3 | - |
| E. Kaba | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Y. Levin | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| M. Shrout | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter