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2026-01-21

Model Predictions

Model Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons Detroit Mercy Titans Spread Result
Elo 30.7% 69.3% -
Bradley-Terry 48.3% 51.7% -
Margin 27.6% 72.4% +5.3 (12.3 off)
Pythagorean 39.4% 60.6% -
Points Off/Def 43.9% 56.1% -

Actual: Detroit Mercy Titans -7 (76-83). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Hadnot II 37 7-17 0-3 8-11 3 2 0 1 1 22 10 +8.9
M. Stevenson 35 8-14 6-10 0-0 5 5 2 0 3 22 17 +13.2
D. Craig 30 2-6 2-4 3-4 3 4 0 0 1 9 9 +2.9
M. Nelson 29 3-9 3-9 0-0 5 3 1 0 1 9 8 +8.9
D. Duffy 22 3-5 0-0 1-2 9 0 1 1 0 7 13 +3.0
D. Elisee 18 1-2 0-0 0-2 3 1 2 0 0 2 6 +3.8
E. Mosley 11 1-6 0-2 3-3 2 0 0 0 0 5 1 -2.0
E. Kaba 9 2-3 1-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 5 4 +3.0
C. Morgan 8 0-0 0-0 2-2 1 0 0 0 0 2 3 -
Y. Levin 1 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -3.0

Detroit Mercy Titans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Spratt 33 5-10 5-8 2-4 6 2 2 0 3 17 14 -10.3
O. Lovejoy 32 8-18 0-2 3-4 3 4 1 1 1 19 9 -11.9
L. Geeter 31 3-6 0-0 2-4 10 1 0 0 2 8 11 -4.9
T. Nadeau 31 8-14 2-5 4-4 5 0 0 0 1 22 12 -6.0
L. Maiden 26 1-5 0-0 0-0 5 0 1 1 0 2 4 -7.9
R. Kalambay 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 1 0 0 6 +0.8
L. Stone 15 0-5 0-1 2-2 1 2 0 0 2 2 -2 -
J. Cotton 6 3-5 0-2 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 6 4 -3.1
N. Johnson 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 +8.1
J. Lary 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 +2.0
K. Fisher 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 -6.0

* = starter