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2025-12-14

Model Predictions

Model Baylor Bears Texas Longhorns Spread Result
Elo 6.9% 93.1% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 14.5% 85.5% - โœ“
Margin 0.8% 99.2% +26.5 โœ“ (8.5 off)
Pythagorean 43.4% 56.6% - โœ“
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 1.0% 99.0% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 8.3% 91.7% - โœ“

Actual: Texas Longhorns +35 (89-54). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Baylor Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Darianna Littlepage-Buggs 34 3-9 0-1 0-2 14 4 0 0 6 6 9 -8.6
Jana Van Gytenbeek 33 2-4 1-2 1-2 1 7 0 0 7 6 3 -12.7
Marcayla Johnson 30 3-10 1-1 2-4 2 1 1 0 6 9 -3 -4.9
Kyla Abraham 22 1-1 0-0 2-2 2 0 1 2 1 4 7 -12.8
Bella Fontleroy 22 2-4 0-2 0-0 2 0 1 1 2 4 2 -12.5
Yuting Deng 15 3-6 2-5 1-2 3 0 0 0 1 9 5 -2.6
Taliah Scott 14 2-8 1-3 4-4 1 0 0 0 4 9 -2 -6.3
Kiersten Johnson 14 1-2 1-1 0-0 1 0 1 1 0 3 4 -7.1
Kayla Nelms 10 1-2 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 2 1 +2.6
Kiera Pemberton 6 0-0 0-0 2-2 1 0 0 0 2 2 1 +0.0

Texas Longhorns

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jordan Lee 39 7-13 4-7 1-2 3 2 4 0 1 19 14 +22.9
Madison Booker 38 12-17 0-1 3-4 8 5 3 0 2 27 24 +31.3
Rori Harmon 37 5-12 0-1 2-3 6 10 3 0 1 12 18 +22.0
Breya Cunningham 28 5-13 0-0 1-3 4 1 2 1 1 11 5 +8.7
Justice Carlton 24 4-8 0-0 0-0 2 3 4 0 1 8 8 +0.3
Teya Sidberry 17 1-4 0-1 3-4 3 2 2 1 0 5 9 +17.0
Kyla Oldacre 13 2-5 0-0 3-4 4 1 1 0 1 7 7 +10.3
Grace Prenter 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2.3
Sarah Graves 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2.4

* = starter