๐Ÿปโฌ‡๏ธ๐Ÿ€

@
2025-12-21

Model Predictions

Model NC State Wolfpack Davidson Wildcats Spread Result
Elo 63.0% 37.0% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 54.7% 45.3% - โœ“
Margin 90.9% 9.1% -12.7 โœ“ (3.7 off)
Pythagorean 47.8% 52.2% - โœ—
Efficiency 55.4% 44.6% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 92.1% 7.9% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 92.7% 7.3% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 72.3% 27.7% - โœ“

Actual: Davidson Wildcats -9 (59-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.

NC State Wolfpack

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Khamil Pierre 37 10-16 0-0 3-4 13 0 1 1 2 23 20 +0.5
Zamareya Jones 36 6-12 3-6 4-6 6 3 0 0 3 19 13 +3.9
Tilda Trygger 36 3-9 0-2 1-2 7 0 1 2 1 7 7 +4.1
Zoe Brooks 35 6-15 0-2 2-2 5 2 0 0 1 14 5 -1.4
Qadence Samuels 32 0-4 0-3 0-0 5 4 1 0 2 0 4 +11.9
Devyn Quigley 17 1-5 0-4 0-0 1 1 1 0 0 2 0 -19.9
Maddie Cox 7 1-1 1-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 3 4 -8.8

Davidson Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Katie Donovan 37 2-7 1-5 0-0 3 0 0 0 3 5 -2 +5.9
Kyra Bruyndoncx 36 6-13 1-5 0-0 5 2 1 0 2 13 6 +14.7
Charlise Dunn 34 7-20 6-13 1-1 8 0 1 0 2 21 8 +7.4
Edina Strausz 25 3-10 0-1 0-0 9 1 1 2 1 6 8 +12.3
Elena Alvarez Castellanos 21 3-3 1-1 2-4 1 5 0 0 0 9 12 +18.9
Ines Garcia Monje 19 0-5 0-1 0-2 5 2 1 1 1 0 3 -3.9
Jasmine Timmerson 11 0-2 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -4.8
Emilie Bessell 7 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 2 1 -6.2
Candice Lienafa 5 1-3 1-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 0 -3.4
Angeliki Ziaka 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 -3.4
Sienna Dauer 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1.8

* = starter