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2025-12-17

Model Predictions

Model Eastern Kentucky Colonels Louisville Cardinals Spread Result
Elo 27.1% 72.9% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 18.1% 81.9% - โœ“
Margin 0.4% 99.6% +30.2 โœ“ (5.2 off)
Pythagorean 44.4% 55.6% - โœ“
Efficiency 15.3% 84.7% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 1.0% 99.0% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 6.9% 93.1% - โœ“

Actual: Louisville Cardinals +25 (76-51). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Eastern Kentucky Colonels

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Angeles 37 4-9 2-4 0-0 1 3 1 0 5 10 1 +22.1
K. Woods 37 1-6 0-1 3-4 1 2 0 0 4 5 -2 +17.0
L. Freihofer 37 3-9 1-5 0-0 5 1 0 0 0 7 4 +22.5
N. Ndukwe 35 3-13 1-7 2-2 8 1 1 0 2 9 4 +22.1
Joseana Vaz 22 4-12 1-3 0-0 6 1 3 0 3 9 4 +13.8
K. Lindsey 20 3-5 0-1 0-1 6 1 0 0 4 6 4 +10.7
L. Mays 3 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -0.5
M. Lewis 3 0-1 0-1 0-2 0 1 0 0 2 0 -2 +1.9
J. Jordan 3 1-1 1-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 3 3 -0.0
Z. Thomas 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 +2.8

Louisville Cardinals

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
I. Berry 25 2-8 0-3 2-2 8 7 4 1 1 6 17 -4.9
E. Istanbulluoglu 23 4-8 0-1 1-2 7 1 1 0 0 9 10 -10.9
T. Roberts 22 4-10 1-1 3-5 5 2 0 0 5 12 4 -13.7
Laura Ziegler 21 5-10 1-4 0-0 7 1 1 0 0 11 10 -16.2
Skylar Jones 20 4-10 0-2 2-4 6 1 2 0 2 10 7 -19.4
Reyna Scott 18 1-4 0-2 1-2 1 2 0 0 5 3 -3 +6.8
M. Randolph 17 1-2 0-1 0-0 4 1 1 1 0 2 7 -10.8
Y. Putra 17 5-6 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 10 5 -7.1
R. Bender 11 1-3 0-2 1-2 1 2 0 1 1 3 3 -7.2
G. Mbugua 11 1-9 0-2 1-2 10 0 1 2 2 3 5 +2.2
A. Hardy 9 2-3 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 4 5 +0.4
P. Bradley 6 1-4 1-4 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 3 2 -5.0

* = starter