Model Predictions
| Model | South Dakota State Jackrabbits | Duke Blue Devils | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 31.8% | 68.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 35.9% | 64.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 2.9% | 97.1% | +19.4 | ✓ (23.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.9% | 53.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 52.0% | 48.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 15.6% | 84.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Duke Blue Devils +43 (97-54). Predictions use season-end ratings.
South Dakota State Jackrabbits
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Mathiowetz | 26 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | -15.4 |
| B. Meyer | 25 | 11-15 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 27 | 17 | -11.1 |
| H. Thul | 25 | 1-9 | 0-5 | 2-4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -2 | -26.0 |
| M. Abdouch | 24 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 2 | -5.4 |
| M. Hartwig | 20 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6 | -30.6 |
| H. Behrens | 17 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | -10.7 |
| E. Colbeck | 16 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | -30.1 |
| J. Dunn | 16 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | -7.6 |
| A. Hoselton | 12 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | -16.6 |
| C. Sheppard | 10 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -3 | -6.6 |
| B. Felchle | 9 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | -21.5 |
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ashlon Jackson | 29 | 5-14 | 3-12 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 7 | +24.1 |
| Taina Mair | 29 | 9-12 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 15 | +44.3 |
| Riley Nelson | 28 | 5-12 | 2-6 | 3-3 | 8 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 18 | +24.9 |
| Toby Fournier | 27 | 9-18 | 0-2 | 2-4 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 20 | 16 | +26.2 |
| Delaney Thomas | 26 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 15 | +45.1 |
| Jordan Wood | 25 | 4-6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 13 | +38.7 |
| Arianna Roberson | 14 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 4 | -3.8 |
| Anna Wikstrom | 13 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.8 |
| Jadyn Donovan | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +10.5 |
* = starter