Model Predictions
| Model | Grand Canyon Lopes | California Golden Bears | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 34.1% | 65.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 24.6% | 75.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 5.7% | 94.3% | +15.5 | ✓ (10.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 37.7% | 62.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 19.9% | 80.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 2.2% | 97.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.7% | 98.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 20.1% | 79.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: California Golden Bears +5 (68-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Grand Canyon Lopes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Karley Johnson | 33 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 6 | +1.8 |
| A. Jeffries | 33 | 8-13 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 17 | 5 | +10.5 |
| Julianna LaMendola | 30 | 2-8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 1 | +11.4 |
| A. Douglas | 27 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | +1.0 |
| C. Mann | 27 | 3-11 | 1-3 | 6-6 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 7 | -4.2 |
| F. Ayodele | 12 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | +0.3 |
| N. Moo | 12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -2.1 |
| C. Valenti-Paea | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -19.0 |
| F. Carson | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -1 | -2.5 |
| I. Zounia | 4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | -3.9 |
| Holly Griffiths | 4 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | -8.5 |
| D. Wright | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -12.1 |
California Golden Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Twidale | 39 | 5-14 | 1-9 | 2-2 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 3 | +9.0 |
| Taylor Barnes | 32 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 2 | +5.2 |
| Mjracle Sheppard | 28 | 6-10 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 11 | -1.5 |
| Aliyahna Morris | 25 | 3-7 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 1 | -3.8 |
| Lola Donez | 21 | 3-4 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 10 | +20.9 |
| Sakima Walker | 17 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 5 | -4.5 |
| Naya Ojukwu | 16 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 13 | +20.8 |
| Gisella Maul | 11 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | +2.6 |
| Claudia Langarita | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -3 | -4.7 |
| Isis Johnson-Musah | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Grace McCallop | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1.2 |
* = starter