Model Predictions
| Model | Saint Mary's Gaels | California Golden Bears | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 8.6% | 91.4% | +15.6 | ✓ (7.6 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 18.0% | 82.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 2.7% | 97.3% | +19.7 | ✓ (11.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 34.3% | 65.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 14.5% | 85.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 14.8% | 85.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: California Golden Bears +8 (70-62). Ratings: 2025-26 season-end ratings.
Saint Mary's Gaels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Abigail Shoff * | 34 | 5-9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 7 | -1.9 |
| Edie Clarke * | 30 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 12 | +7.3 |
| Jada Hunter * | 29 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | +6.3 |
| Malia Latu * | 28 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 4 | +8.3 |
| Addi Wedin * | 23 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 1 | +7.1 |
| Emily Foy | 25 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 1 | -12.8 |
| Mauriana Hashemian-Orr | 14 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | -5.6 |
| Georgia Grigoropoulou | 6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | -0.1 |
| Charlece Ohiaeri | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -5.5 |
| Amy Kurkowski | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -5.4 |
| Melesungu Afeaki | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -5.8 |
California Golden Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Taylor Barnes * | 39 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 3-3 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 10 | +2.5 |
| Lulu Twidale * | 37 | 5-11 | 4-8 | 4-6 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 12 | +8.2 |
| Aliyahna Morris * | 36 | 2-7 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 4 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 14 | +2.3 |
| Sakima Walker * | 32 | 11-15 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 25 | 23 | +4.0 |
| Lola Donez * | 19 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | -14.6 |
| Gisella Maul | 23 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | +15.0 |
| Claudia Langarita | 8 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 2 | -5.5 |
| Isis Johnson-Musah | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +3.1 |
| Naya Ojukwu | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +1.3 |
* = starter