Model Predictions
| Model | Pacific Tigers | California Golden Bears | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 17.5% | 82.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 18.3% | 81.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 1.6% | 98.4% | +22.7 | ✓ (14.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 24.4% | 75.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 5.4% | 94.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 11.7% | 88.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: California Golden Bears +8 (60-52). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Pacific Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daria Nestorov | 31 | 2-8 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 2 | -3.6 |
| Liv Yergensen | 30 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 4-4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 10 | -17.4 |
| Nyah Lowery | 26 | 4-8 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 10 | +8.7 |
| Sydney Ward | 25 | 4-7 | 2-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 7 | -15.1 |
| Stella Szabo | 22 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 1 | +22.5 |
| Winner Bartholomew | 21 | 4-15 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | -1 | +0.4 |
| Marina Radocaj | 20 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 3 | +2.0 |
| Luisa Anderegg | 18 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | +10.1 |
| Mali Ennis | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Sophia Mindermann | 2 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | -8.3 |
| Hannah Burg | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | -2.7 |
| Kenlee Durrill | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.9 |
California Golden Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Taylor Barnes | 38 | 3-13 | 1-6 | 1-2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 4 | +0.2 |
| L. Twidale | 34 | 6-15 | 0-6 | 7-7 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 12 | +0.8 |
| Lola Donez | 25 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | -8.2 |
| Gisella Maul | 21 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 11 | +14.0 |
| Sakima Walker | 20 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | -17.4 |
| Aliyahna Morris | 19 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 3 | -2.6 |
| Mjracle Sheppard | 13 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 8 | +5.7 |
| Claudia Langarita | 10 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | +7.4 |
| Naya Ojukwu | 8 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 8 | +13.5 |
| Grace McCallop | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -2 | -3.4 |
| Isis Johnson-Musah | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Anastasia Drosouni | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.1 |
* = starter