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2026-02-14

Model Predictions

Model Virginia Cavaliers Ohio State Buckeyes Spread Result
Elo 67.6% 32.4% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 67.8% 32.2% - ✓
Margin 47.3% 52.7% +0.6 ✗ (4.6 off)
Pythagorean 50.7% 49.3% - ✓
Points Off/Def 48.1% 51.9% - ✗

Actual: Ohio State Buckeyes -4 (66-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Virginia Cavaliers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Dallin Hall 31 3-6 0-2 1-2 1 1 1 0 3 7 1 -
Sam Lewis 28 2-6 1-2 7-9 3 0 1 0 1 12 9 -
Thijs De Ridder 26 2-7 0-2 2-3 6 1 0 1 2 6 5 -
Chance Mallory 23 3-6 1-2 5-7 3 1 0 0 1 12 9 -
Malik Thomas 22 4-10 2-5 3-4 6 2 0 0 1 13 10 -
Ugonna Onyenso 22 2-5 0-1 4-7 10 1 1 4 1 8 18 -
Johann Grünloh 19 2-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 1 1 4 4 -
Jacari White 15 1-3 1-1 0-0 3 1 1 0 1 3 4 -
Devin Tillis 14 2-4 1-3 0-0 3 2 0 0 0 5 6 -

Ohio State Buckeyes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Bruce Thornton 38 12-21 2-4 2-4 4 3 3 1 1 28 17 -
Devin Royal 33 2-12 0-2 0-0 5 0 0 0 1 4 -4 -
Amare Bynum 33 5-7 3-4 2-2 6 0 1 0 2 15 13 -
Taison Chatman 31 2-5 0-1 0-0 1 1 1 0 2 4 0 -
Christoph Tilly 26 4-12 1-3 2-3 3 2 1 2 0 11 7 -
Ivan Njegovan 14 2-3 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 0 0 4 6 -
Gabe Cupps 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 3 1 0 1 0 3 -
Puff Johnson 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Colin White 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter