Model Predictions
| Model | Virginia Cavaliers | Ohio State Buckeyes | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 65.9% | 34.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 67.5% | 32.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 46.7% | 53.3% | +0.7 | ✗ (4.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.0% | 50.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 69.5% | 30.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 58.4% | 41.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 58.1% | 41.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 47.1% | 52.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Ohio State Buckeyes -4 (66-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Virginia Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Hall | 31 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 1 | - |
| S. Lewis | 28 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 7-9 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 9 | - |
| T. De Ridder | 26 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 5 | - |
| C. Mallory | 23 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 5-7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 9 | - |
| M. Thomas | 22 | 4-10 | 2-5 | 3-4 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 10 | - |
| U. Onyenso | 22 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 4-7 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 18 | - |
| J. Grünloh | 19 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| J. White | 15 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - |
| D. Tillis | 14 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
Ohio State Buckeyes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Thornton | 38 | 12-21 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 28 | 14 | - |
| D. Royal | 33 | 2-12 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -3 | - |
| A. Bynum | 33 | 5-7 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 13 | - |
| T. Chatman | 31 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -1 | - |
| C. Tilly | 26 | 4-12 | 1-3 | 2-3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 11 | 5 | - |
| I. Njegovan | 14 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| G. Cupps | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| P. Johnson | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| C. White | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter