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2025-12-11

Model Predictions

Model Green Bay Phoenix IU Indianapolis Jaguars Spread Result
Elo 83.8% 16.2% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 82.5% 17.5% - ✓
Margin 67.8% 32.2% -4.1 ✓ (5.9 off)
Pythagorean 63.5% 36.5% - ✓
Points Off/Def 56.7% 43.3% - ✓

Actual: IU Indianapolis Jaguars -10 (75-85). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Green Bay Phoenix

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C.J. O'Hara * 37 6-8 1-1 7-9 5 0 0 1 1 20 17 +6.2
Preston Ruedinger * 37 7-14 4-8 2-2 6 5 1 0 2 20 16 +8.8
LeBron Thomas * 30 3-4 0-0 14-16 5 2 1 0 1 20 23 +12.4
Marcus Hall * 28 2-11 0-4 2-2 9 2 0 0 2 6 4 -0.8
Ramel Bethea * 26 1-2 0-0 0-0 5 1 2 1 3 2 6 +16.0
Caden Wilkins 12 2-2 1-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 5 4 +2.6
Mac Wrecke 11 2-4 1-2 1-2 0 0 0 0 0 6 2 +1.7
Justin Allen 10 1-4 1-3 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 3 0 -1.4
Keegan Van Kauwenberg 8 1-2 1-2 0-0 3 0 1 0 1 3 4 -1.4
Rob Stroud 1 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -2.1

IU Indianapolis Jaguars

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. D'Augustino * 30 7-13 1-3 2-4 3 0 0 0 0 17 7 -4.2
Micah Davis * 30 5-12 3-8 4-4 1 5 0 0 1 17 10 -6.0
K. Tinsley * 27 0-3 0-2 8-8 3 0 0 0 0 8 8 -10.7
F. Woodward * 24 3-7 0-0 0-0 5 3 0 0 2 6 5 -0.5
G. Stewart * 11 1-3 0-1 2-4 6 0 0 0 0 4 7 -4.8
M. Mitchell 24 1-7 1-6 1-2 1 3 3 0 1 4 3 -0.3
J. Dragas 21 3-7 1-3 0-0 2 0 2 0 1 7 3 -3.8
Jaxon Edwards 21 4-5 1-1 3-4 7 1 2 2 4 12 15 -9.2
M. Compas 9 0-3 0-2 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 -1 -4.8
R. Hagy 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0.9

* = starter