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2025-12-06

Model Predictions

Model Youngstown State Penguins IU Indianapolis Jaguars Spread Result
Elo 76.9% 23.1% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 75.8% 24.2% - ✓
Margin 67.1% 32.9% -3.9 ✓ (19.1 off)
Pythagorean 65.6% 34.4% - ✓
Points Off/Def 56.6% 43.4% - ✓

Actual: IU Indianapolis Jaguars -23 (55-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Youngstown State Penguins

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Cris Carroll 31 7-12 2-5 1-2 6 3 1 0 2 17 13 +19.2
Rich Rolf 26 9-12 2-4 0-0 4 2 1 0 1 20 14 +26.8
Vladimer Salaridze 25 1-5 0-1 4-6 8 2 0 0 0 6 11 +7.2
Jason Nelson 23 2-5 0-1 2-2 3 4 0 0 4 6 4 +18.1
D. King 22 3-4 0-1 0-0 4 1 0 0 1 6 6 -
Bryson Dawkins 22 3-8 2-4 2-4 6 3 1 0 3 10 9 +18.0
Cam Polak 20 0-3 0-3 0-0 2 2 2 0 2 0 1 +6.2
Imanuel Zorgvol 14 4-4 1-1 2-4 2 0 0 2 2 11 9 +13.6
Jaiden Haynes 13 1-1 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 0 0 2 5 +3.9
T. Blackshear 4 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 -

IU Indianapolis Jaguars

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. D'Augustino 32 4-11 0-2 11-12 2 2 1 0 2 19 11 -24.1
Micah Davis 29 3-12 1-7 0-1 5 3 2 0 0 7 5 -14.3
J. Dragas 28 1-4 1-3 1-3 2 3 4 0 1 4 8 -4.1
K. Tinsley 18 3-7 2-5 0-0 0 1 1 0 1 8 2 -4.7
M. Mitchell 18 1-7 0-6 0-0 3 0 0 1 1 2 -2 -7.8
F. Woodward 17 1-4 0-0 0-0 1 3 1 0 3 2 0 -15.9
Jaxon Edwards 14 3-5 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 3 2 6 4 -13.6
M. Compas 13 2-5 0-0 1-2 2 1 0 0 1 5 2 -11.8
A. Miller 10 0-1 0-1 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 0 3 -7.6
G. Stewart 9 0-1 0-1 0-1 5 0 0 0 1 0 3 -2.9
L. Cvetkovic 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -3.0
R. Hagy 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 -2.9
C. Boston 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2.0
A. Holubar 2 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -2.0

* = starter