Model Predictions
| Model | Queens University Royals | Virginia Cavaliers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 20.0% | 80.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 13.5% | 86.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 1.1% | 98.9% | +24.6 | ✓ (0.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 33.7% | 66.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 32.5% | 67.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Virginia Cavaliers +25 (94-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Queens University Royals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nasir Mann * | 31 | 7-11 | 1-4 | 3-3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 10 | -20.8 |
| Carson Schwieger * | 25 | 3-7 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 5 | -22.3 |
| Chris Ashby * | 25 | 1-9 | 0-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -3 | -18.2 |
| Jordan Watford * | 25 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 9 | -0.8 |
| Avantae Parker * | 17 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 3 | -19.5 |
| Maban Jabriel | 22 | 3-9 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 7 | -13.8 |
| Yoav Berman | 19 | 4-7 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 4 | -4.8 |
| Isaiah Henry | 16 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | +5.5 |
| Gus Larson | 12 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 2-4 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | +12.1 |
| Kam Clark | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3.3 |
| Reid Celestin | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +5.2 |
Virginia Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Lewis * | 26 | 6-9 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 13 | +33.2 |
| Johann Grünloh * | 23 | 4-5 | 2-2 | 3-4 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 13 | 24 | -1.5 |
| Malik Thomas * | 21 | 2-8 | 0-5 | 4-6 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | +9.6 |
| Thijs De Ridder * | 21 | 8-10 | 2-3 | 3-6 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 21 | 17 | +26.7 |
| Dallin Hall * | 21 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | -12.0 |
| Chance Mallory | 24 | 4-8 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 14 | +23.0 |
| Jacari White | 18 | 4-9 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 6 | +6.4 |
| Devin Tillis | 18 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 5-5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 14 | +4.5 |
| Ugonna Onyenso | 17 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 7 | +4.8 |
| Elijah Gertrude | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -8.3 |
| Martin Carrere | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -6.3 |
| Carter Lang | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3.2 |
| Desmond Roberts | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3.0 |
| Owen Odom | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -3.0 |
* = starter