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2025-11-23

Model Predictions

Model Butler Bulldogs Virginia Cavaliers Spread Result
Elo 8.4% 91.6% - ✗
Bradley-Terry 13.8% 86.2% - ✗
Margin 9.2% 90.8% +12.6 ✗ (19.6 off)
Pythagorean 36.9% 63.1% - ✗
Points Off/Def 42.1% 57.9% - ✗

Actual: Virginia Cavaliers -7 (73-80). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Butler Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Michael Ajayi * 37 7-14 0-1 3-6 14 1 0 3 2 17 19 +16.2
Finley Bizjack * 34 9-18 2-10 5-6 1 2 0 0 2 25 8 +2.7
Jamie Kaiser Jr. * 32 1-3 0-0 3-4 10 0 4 0 1 5 15 +4.6
Drayton Jones * 27 3-4 0-0 0-1 9 1 0 0 0 6 12 +11.0
Jalen Jackson * 21 2-5 0-0 6-8 1 4 0 0 4 10 6 +7.5
Yame Butler 14 1-2 0-0 3-4 1 0 1 0 0 5 5 +10.4
A. Robinson 12 1-2 1-1 0-0 1 1 2 0 1 3 4 +5.7
Yohan Traore 10 0-3 0-0 0-0 2 2 0 0 0 0 1 +2.2
Evan Haywood 8 3-4 3-3 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 9 5 +8.5
Jack McCaffery 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2.0
Jackson Keith 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0.9

Virginia Cavaliers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Thijs De Ridder * 31 4-10 1-3 1-4 5 0 2 0 1 10 6 -11.0
Malik Thomas * 28 9-17 3-7 3-6 3 0 0 0 0 24 10 -9.2
Sam Lewis * 25 3-8 0-3 0-0 2 1 1 0 0 6 2 -4.2
Johann Grünloh * 17 1-4 0-1 0-0 7 0 0 2 2 2 5 -
Dallin Hall * 11 0-3 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 1 1 0 -1 -12.2
Chance Mallory 34 4-13 0-3 3-5 6 3 3 0 3 11 7 -5.1
Ugonna Onyenso 23 1-6 0-2 0-0 7 1 0 8 0 2 12 -5.5
Jacari White 19 5-7 4-6 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 14 7 -4.3
Devin Tillis 10 2-2 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 4 3 -1.0
Elijah Gertrude 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -2.1

* = starter