Model Predictions
| Model | Northwestern Wildcats | Virginia Cavaliers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 9.3% | 90.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 10.3% | 89.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 11.9% | 88.1% | +11.0 | ✓ (6.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 35.6% | 64.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 43.0% | 57.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Virginia Cavaliers +5 (83-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Northwestern Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Martinelli * | 38 | 3-12 | 1-2 | 2-4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 2 | -2.7 |
| Arrinten Page * | 33 | 8-14 | 2-6 | 2-3 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 13 | +7.9 |
| Jayden Reid * | 27 | 6-15 | 2-3 | 11-14 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 25 | 19 | +3.5 |
| Angelo Ciaravino * | 25 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | +6.7 |
| Tre Singleton * | 23 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 9 | +4.5 |
| Justin Mullins | 24 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | -10.3 |
| K.J. Windham | 11 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -0.4 |
| Jake West | 9 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | +2.5 |
| Max Green | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | +0.5 |
| Tyler Kropp | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -4.7 |
Virginia Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malik Thomas * | 32 | 3-11 | 1-4 | 7-8 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 8 | -0.8 |
| Johann Grünloh * | 31 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 1-3 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 11 | - |
| Dallin Hall * | 29 | 2-9 | 2-4 | 5-6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 7 | +15.2 |
| Sam Lewis * | 27 | 4-9 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 6 | +1.0 |
| Thijs De Ridder * | 27 | 9-15 | 0-1 | 8-9 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 26 | 17 | +4.8 |
| Chance Mallory | 25 | 3-7 | 1-4 | 9-10 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 20 | -10.2 |
| Jacari White | 13 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | -1.5 |
| Ugonna Onyenso | 9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -1.9 |
| Devin Tillis | 7 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | -6.5 |
* = starter