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2025-11-07

Model Predictions

Model North Carolina Central Eagles Virginia Cavaliers Spread Result
Elo 4.8% 95.2% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 4.3% 95.7% - ✓
Margin 0.1% 99.9% +38.6 ✓ (19.6 off)
Pythagorean 12.9% 87.1% - ✓
Points Off/Def 16.9% 83.1% - ✓

Actual: Virginia Cavaliers +19 (81-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.

North Carolina Central Eagles

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
G. Lattimore * 40 7-17 5-6 6-6 3 3 0 0 0 25 14 -
Khouri Carvey * 33 4-13 1-1 7-10 11 4 2 1 2 16 19 -
D. Johnson * 27 3-11 0-3 0-0 3 4 4 0 0 6 6 -
Jonathan Dunn * 20 0-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
K. Davis * 16 3-7 0-2 2-2 1 1 1 0 0 8 4 -
K. Okworogwo 23 2-4 0-1 1-2 4 0 1 0 2 5 4 -
Tekao Carpenter 18 0-2 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
Ryan Archey 7 0-1 0-0 2-2 1 0 0 0 2 2 0 -
Justin Edwards 6 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 0 -1 -
R. Battle II 5 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
J. Slack 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

Virginia Cavaliers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Thijs De Ridder * 30 6-10 3-4 5-6 5 2 0 0 1 20 16 -
Dallin Hall * 27 1-5 1-4 0-0 4 7 0 0 2 3 7 -
Malik Thomas * 25 5-12 2-8 0-0 3 6 0 0 1 12 8 -
Johann Grünloh * 25 2-5 0-2 0-0 11 1 2 7 2 4 18 -
Sam Lewis * 14 3-7 3-6 1-2 3 0 0 0 0 10 6 -
Chance Mallory 24 2-4 2-3 3-7 5 4 2 0 1 9 15 -
Ugonna Onyenso 20 4-6 0-1 2-3 7 0 0 2 1 10 12 -
Jacari White 17 3-6 3-5 0-0 4 2 0 0 3 9 6 -
Elijah Gertrude 12 1-3 0-2 0-1 0 0 0 0 0 2 -1 -
Martin Carrere 3 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 2 0 2 4 -
Desmond Roberts 1 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Owen Odom 1 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
Carter Lang 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter