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2025-12-07

Model Predictions

Model Texas A&M Aggies SMU Mustangs Spread Result
Elo 54.5% 45.5% - ✗
Bradley-Terry 46.6% 53.4% - ✓
Margin 41.1% 58.9% +2.0 ✓ (11.0 off)
Pythagorean 48.8% 51.2% - ✓
Points Off/Def 47.5% 52.5% - ✓

Actual: SMU Mustangs +13 (93-80). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Texas A&M Aggies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Marcus Hill * 36 8-16 1-3 8-15 7 2 0 0 1 25 17 +0.0
Rashaun Agee * 35 3-10 1-2 6-8 11 3 2 0 0 13 19 -9.9
Mackenzie Mgbako * 30 4-13 3-9 2-2 7 1 0 1 1 13 8 -9.6
Ruben Dominguez * 19 1-4 0-3 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 2 0 -8.7
Jacari Lane * 19 1-5 0-4 0-0 1 5 1 0 2 2 2 -3.7
Rylan Griffen 28 2-8 1-7 4-6 2 5 3 2 5 9 8 -2.9
Pop Isaacs 24 3-10 2-6 1-1 1 2 0 0 3 9 -1 -8.7
Josh Holloway 10 0-1 0-0 1-2 2 1 0 0 2 1 1 +0.2
Zach Clemence 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 2 0 1 -2.9
Federiko Federiko 7 2-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 4 3 +5.0
Ali Dibba 6 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 1 +4.0
Jamie Vinson 3 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -2.9

SMU Mustangs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B.J. Edwards * 43 2-8 0-2 5-6 9 11 4 0 3 9 22 +9.2
Jaron Pierre Jr. * 41 13-21 3-8 6-6 5 0 1 0 1 35 19 +7.5
Boopie Miller * 40 4-13 1-6 10-10 6 4 1 0 5 19 12 +2.7
Corey Washington * 36 5-9 1-3 3-3 3 0 1 1 1 14 9 +9.9
Samet Yigitoglu * 25 6-8 0-0 0-0 8 1 1 2 0 12 16 -8.2
Mitchell Holmes 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 +16.7
Jermaine O'Neal Jr. 12 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 1 0 0 2 3 +7.8
Jaden Toombs 10 0-3 0-0 2-3 2 0 0 1 0 2 2 -
B.J. Davis-Ray 5 0-3 0-3 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -

* = starter