Model Predictions
| Model | Butler Bulldogs | SMU Mustangs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 29.8% | 70.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 28.7% | 71.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 19.0% | 81.0% | +8.0 | ✓ (6.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.8% | 58.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 44.0% | 56.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: SMU Mustangs +2 (87-85). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Butler Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Ajayi * | 34 | 4-8 | 1-2 | 5-10 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 14 | 16 | -1.3 |
| Finley Bizjack * | 32 | 6-15 | 5-9 | 1-2 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 11 | -1.8 |
| Jalen Jackson * | 29 | 4-9 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 7 | +2.3 |
| Jamie Kaiser Jr. * | 25 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 7 | +4.1 |
| Drayton Jones * | 15 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 4 | +6.3 |
| Yohan Traore | 23 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 5 | -3.9 |
| Evan Haywood | 19 | 3-7 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 6 | -2.0 |
| Yame Butler | 8 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | +4.2 |
| A. Robinson | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | +0.2 |
| Jackson Keith | 6 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | +4.1 |
| Jack McCaffery | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
SMU Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B.J. Edwards * | 38 | 5-9 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 15 | +4.6 |
| Boopie Miller * | 37 | 9-13 | 1-2 | 4-5 | 1 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 23 | 19 | +3.1 |
| Jaron Pierre Jr. * | 34 | 8-16 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 8 | -2.5 |
| Samet Yigitoglu * | 29 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 9 | -6.1 |
| Corey Washington * | 28 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 3-4 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 13 | -0.3 |
| Sam Walters | 13 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -1.7 |
| Mitchell Holmes | 11 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 8 | +4.2 |
| Jermaine O'Neal Jr. | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -6.8 |
| B.J. Davis-Ray | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -3.0 |
| Chance Puryear | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | +1.0 |
* = starter