Model Predictions
| Model | Murray State Racers | SMU Mustangs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 25.4% | 74.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 25.6% | 74.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 7.0% | 93.0% | +14.3 | ✓ (3.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.2% | 57.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 39.8% | 60.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: SMU Mustangs +11 (102-91). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Murray State Racers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fredrick King * | 25 | 5-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 10 | +0.4 |
| Javon Jackson * | 24 | 8-14 | 2-3 | 8-8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 26 | 14 | -10.0 |
| JJ Traynor * | 21 | 6-8 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 9 | -3.3 |
| KJ Tenner * | 17 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | -20.2 |
| Brayden Shorter * | 10 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | -9.0 |
| Roman Domon | 26 | 3-5 | 0-2 | 5-7 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 10 | +2.5 |
| Layne Taylor | 25 | 1-5 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | +15.0 |
| Mathis Courbon | 22 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | +3.4 |
| Mason Miller | 17 | 3-5 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 6 | -8.2 |
| Dylan Anderson | 13 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 8 | -7.0 |
SMU Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boopie Miller * | 36 | 9-13 | 3-5 | 7-8 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 28 | 27 | +13.8 |
| B.J. Edwards * | 35 | 8-17 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 20 | 13 | +8.8 |
| Samet Yigitoglu * | 32 | 5-12 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 9 | +9.0 |
| Corey Washington * | 29 | 5-9 | 0-1 | 7-8 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 21 | +13.5 |
| Jaron Pierre Jr. * | 26 | 5-15 | 2-4 | 7-8 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 11 | +12.1 |
| Jermaine O'Neal Jr. | 15 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Sam Walters | 13 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | -5.1 |
| Mitchell Holmes | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -4.4 |
| B.J. Davis-Ray | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -5.2 |
* = starter