Model Predictions
| Model | Pittsburgh Panthers | Villanova Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 20.7% | 79.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 15.5% | 84.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 14.6% | 85.4% | +9.7 | ✓ (8.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 35.6% | 64.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 13.6% | 86.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 14.6% | 85.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 14.7% | 85.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 28.6% | 71.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Villanova Wildcats +18 (79-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Pittsburgh Panthers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barry Dunning Jr. | 39 | 7-11 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 11 | -11.8 |
| Damarco Minor | 30 | 4-9 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 6 | -7.4 |
| Cameron Corhen | 29 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 7 | -3.4 |
| Brandin Cummings | 28 | 2-8 | 0-5 | 2-2 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | -12.2 |
| Nojus Indrusaitis | 25 | 6-13 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 6 | -7.2 |
| Roman Siulepa | 20 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | -9.3 |
| Omari Witherspoon | 19 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | +1.5 |
| Kieran Mullen | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -7.0 |
| Macari Moore | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +0.0 |
Villanova Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Duke Brennan | 34 | 8-8 | 0-0 | 8-12 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 24 | 29 | +21.1 |
| Bryce Lindsay | 32 | 8-18 | 4-11 | 4-4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 24 | 10 | +18.2 |
| Acaden Lewis | 31 | 4-9 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 13 | +10.8 |
| Devin Askew | 26 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | +14.2 |
| Matt Hodge | 26 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 9 | +9.7 |
| Tyler Perkins | 18 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -7.8 |
| Tafara Gapare | 14 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | -1.2 |
| Christian Jeffrey | 9 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | +0.4 |
| Malachi Palmer | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | -1.0 |
| Braden Pierce | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2.6 |
* = starter