Model Predictions
| Model | Pittsburgh Panthers | Villanova Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 21.5% | 78.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 13.4% | 86.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 13.9% | 86.1% | +10.0 | ✓ (8.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 35.6% | 64.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 14.8% | 85.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 14.9% | 85.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 28.1% | 71.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Villanova Wildcats +18 (79-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Pittsburgh Panthers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Dunning Jr. | 39 | 7-11 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 11 | -13.9 |
| D. Minor | 30 | 4-9 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 6 | -10.5 |
| C. Corhen | 29 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 7 | -10.2 |
| B. Cummings | 28 | 2-8 | 0-5 | 2-2 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | -8.4 |
| N. Indrusaitis | 25 | 6-13 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 6 | -9.5 |
| R. Siulepa | 20 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | -5.2 |
| O. Witherspoon | 19 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -3.7 |
| K. Mullen | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -3.1 |
| M. Moore | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +0.0 |
Villanova Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Brennan | 34 | 8-8 | 0-0 | 8-12 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 24 | 29 | +14.3 |
| B. Lindsay | 32 | 8-18 | 4-11 | 4-4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 24 | 10 | +18.1 |
| A. Lewis | 31 | 4-9 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 13 | +13.6 |
| M. Hodge | 26 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 9 | +10.7 |
| D. Askew | 26 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | +16.5 |
| T. Perkins | 18 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -7.4 |
| T. Gapare | 14 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | -2.1 |
| C. Jeffrey | 9 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| M. Palmer | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | +2.1 |
| B. Pierce | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +3.0 |
* = starter