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2025-12-13

Model Predictions

Model Pittsburgh Panthers Villanova Wildcats Spread Result
Elo 21.5% 78.5% -
Bradley-Terry 13.4% 86.6% -
Margin 13.9% 86.1% +10.0 (8.0 off)
Pythagorean 35.6% 64.4% -
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 14.8% 85.2% -
Log Adjusted 14.9% 85.1% -
Points Off/Def 28.1% 71.9% -

Actual: Villanova Wildcats +18 (79-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Pittsburgh Panthers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Dunning Jr. 39 7-11 3-6 0-1 5 0 0 1 1 17 11 -13.9
D. Minor 30 4-9 1-4 1-2 5 2 2 0 4 10 6 -10.5
C. Corhen 29 4-9 0-0 2-2 7 1 0 0 2 10 7 -10.2
B. Cummings 28 2-8 0-5 2-2 1 4 0 0 1 6 2 -8.4
N. Indrusaitis 25 6-13 1-5 1-2 4 2 0 0 1 14 6 -9.5
R. Siulepa 20 0-3 0-1 0-0 4 2 0 0 2 0 1 -5.2
O. Witherspoon 19 1-4 0-1 1-1 5 1 0 0 1 3 4 -3.7
K. Mullen 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -3.1
M. Moore 1 0-0 0-0 1-2 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 +0.0

Villanova Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Brennan 34 8-8 0-0 8-12 9 4 0 1 1 24 29 +14.3
B. Lindsay 32 8-18 4-11 4-4 1 3 0 0 0 24 10 +18.1
A. Lewis 31 4-9 1-1 2-2 3 7 2 0 1 11 13 +13.6
M. Hodge 26 3-6 2-4 0-0 4 2 1 0 0 8 9 +10.7
D. Askew 26 2-4 1-3 0-0 2 3 1 0 0 5 7 +16.5
T. Perkins 18 0-2 0-1 2-4 1 1 0 0 0 2 2 -7.4
T. Gapare 14 0-1 0-0 2-2 4 0 0 1 0 2 6 -2.1
C. Jeffrey 9 1-1 1-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 3 3 -
M. Palmer 7 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -2 +2.1
B. Pierce 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 +3.0

* = starter