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2025-11-16

Model Predictions

Model Notre Dame Fighting Irish Ohio State Buckeyes Spread Result
Elo 12.8% 87.2% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 20.7% 79.3% - โœ“
Margin 9.7% 90.3% +12.3 โœ“ (11.3 off)
Pythagorean 33.9% 66.1% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 41.6% 58.4% - โœ“

Actual: Ohio State Buckeyes +1 (64-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Notre Dame Fighting Irish

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Braeden Shrewsberry * 32 4-7 2-3 1-2 4 0 1 0 2 11 7 +3.3
Markus Burton * 30 3-14 0-1 8-9 2 1 1 0 4 14 0 +3.7
Carson Towt * 29 4-5 0-0 0-3 12 2 0 0 2 8 15 +5.5
Sir Mohammed * 25 4-8 0-2 0-3 2 2 0 0 1 8 3 +5.0
Garrett Sundra * 20 2-3 1-2 0-0 2 0 1 0 0 5 5 +5.1
Jalen Haralson 26 5-10 0-0 3-3 2 3 2 1 3 13 8 -1.8
Kebba Njie 11 1-2 0-1 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 2 3 -1.9
Logan Imes 10 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 1 2 1 +0.2
Cole Certa 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 +0.0
Brady Koehler 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 -1.9
Ryder Frost 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -0.0

Ohio State Buckeyes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Bruce Thornton * 40 8-15 4-7 4-4 4 2 1 0 3 24 13 -2.6
Devin Royal * 33 2-6 1-3 2-2 6 1 0 0 1 7 7 -4.9
Christoph Tilly * 28 4-8 0-3 10-13 4 1 0 2 1 18 16 -2.4
John Mobley Jr. * 25 2-10 2-5 3-3 0 2 0 0 2 9 -1 -3.0
Brandon Noel * 19 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 2 1 1 0 0 5 -4.9
Amare Bynum 20 2-5 0-2 0-1 5 1 0 0 1 4 4 +2.2
Gabe Cupps 15 1-3 0-2 0-0 2 1 1 1 1 2 3 +0.0
Colin White 9 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 2 0 0 0 1 +2.0
Ivan Njegovan 9 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 2 1 0 0 0 3 +0.1
Taison Chatman 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 +0.0

* = starter