Model Predictions
| Model | Illinois Fighting Illini | Missouri Tigers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 78.7% | 21.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 66.9% | 33.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 88.4% | 11.6% | -11.2 | ✓ (3.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 68.0% | 32.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 92.2% | 7.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 90.9% | 9.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 91.4% | 8.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 71.4% | 28.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Missouri Tigers -8 (62-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Illinois Fighting Illini
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gretchen Dolan | 40 | 7-15 | 3-6 | 4-4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 10 | -3.7 |
| Destiny Jackson | 39 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 5 | 9 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 20 | +3.5 |
| Cearah Parchment | 30 | 4-9 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 11 | +6.2 |
| Berry Wallace | 25 | 4-11 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 6 | +1.9 |
| Jasmine Brown-Hagger | 24 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | -2 | +4.2 |
| Maddie Webber | 23 | 5-10 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 5 | -7.2 |
| Lety Vasconcelos | 19 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 4 | -6.2 |
Missouri Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grace Slaughter | 35 | 7-16 | 2-5 | 3-4 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 19 | 10 | +13.1 |
| Shannon Dowell | 34 | 2-11 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 3 | +6.3 |
| Abbey Schreacke | 33 | 3-10 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 1 | +8.1 |
| Jayla Smith | 31 | 2-7 | 1-6 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 0 | -6.7 |
| Chloe Sotell | 26 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 10 | -0.0 |
| Jordana Reisma | 25 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 4 | +5.4 |
| Lisa Thompson | 16 | 5-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 12 | -0.8 |
| Ma'Riya Vincent | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.7 |
* = starter