Model Predictions
| Model | Samford Bulldogs | UNC Greensboro Spartans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 74.2% | 25.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 52.8% | 47.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 37.5% | 62.5% | +2.8 | ✓ (6.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 31.3% | 68.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 21.8% | 78.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 42.7% | 57.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 42.1% | 57.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 41.7% | 58.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UNC Greensboro Spartans +9 (73-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Samford Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aubrey Blankenship | 36 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 5 | -15.9 |
| Briana Rivera | 34 | 2-5 | 2-5 | 3-3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 8 | -16.7 |
| Kaylee Yarbrough | 30 | 5-15 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 2 | +2.4 |
| E. Snoddy | 22 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 10 | - |
| Sierra Godbolt | 21 | 4-9 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 4 | -9.0 |
| Jada Knight | 18 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | +0.1 |
| Carla Baguda | 17 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9 | -8.3 |
| Frances Morris | 17 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 8 | +3.1 |
| Alyssa Tarpley | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +8.9 |
UNC Greensboro Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tasia Johnson | 37 | 2-5 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | +12.4 |
| Jeni Levine | 32 | 7-14 | 4-7 | 3-4 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 21 | 12 | +14.8 |
| Rylan Moffitt | 29 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 15 | +8.7 |
| Makiah Asidanya | 28 | 3-10 | 2-7 | 2-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 4 | -14.3 |
| Jaila Lee | 26 | 4-9 | 3-5 | 6-6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 9 | +4.6 |
| Ciara Harris | 15 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 10 | +17.9 |
| Leyla Minor | 14 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 3 | +0.3 |
| Kristina Rakotobe | 11 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | -0.8 |
| Mia Simpson | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -0.9 |
| Joelle Davis | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -5.8 |
* = starter