Model Predictions
| Model | Mercer Bears | Samford Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 29.7% | 70.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 46.0% | 54.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 46.5% | 53.5% | +0.8 | ✓ (19.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 69.2% | 30.8% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 81.5% | 18.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 61.7% | 38.3% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 61.7% | 38.3% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 47.5% | 52.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Samford Bulldogs +20 (68-48). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Mercer Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Diarra | 37 | 4-14 | 2-4 | 4-6 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 6 | - |
| Talia Kemp | 29 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Micah O'Dell | 25 | 1-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -2 | - |
| Rania Curry | 24 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 4-6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Ariana Bennett | 24 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Abby Holtman | 23 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Talia Harris | 16 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Elena Cabello | 14 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - |
| R. Drantmann | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Ste. Utomi | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
Samford Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sierra Godbolt | 39 | 10-18 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 8 | - |
| Briana Rivera | 38 | 6-10 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 6 | - |
| Martha Bishop | 31 | 4-10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 12 | - |
| Alyssa Tarpley | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - |
| Frances Morris | 25 | 5-8 | 2-3 | 3-3 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 12 | - |
| Carla Baguda | 18 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| E. Snoddy | 17 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 11 | - |
| Avary Brewer | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter